NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Following a couple of months of gains, sales of existing homes retreated again in October, an industry report said Tuesday.
The National Association of Realtors reported that the number of homes sold fell 2.2% from September to an annual rate of 4.43 million. The rate was down 25.9% from 12 months earlier.
The report came in just about at expectations. A consensus of experts surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast an annualized sales rate of 4.42 million.
"The housing market is experiencing an uneven recovery," said Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist. "Still, sales activity is clearly off the bottom and is attempting to settle into normal sustainable levels."
Most (and least) affordable cities to buy a home
Home sales have been slow despite some of the best buying conditions in many years: interest rates near 4% for 30-year fixed-rate loans, the most affordable home prices in many years and a wide choice of homes available for house hunters.
The median price of all existing homes sold during the month was $170,500, down 0.9% compared with 12 months earlier. About a third of the market was in distressed properties, repossessed homes and short sales.
Mike Larson, a housing market analyst for Weiss Research, said that positive and negative forces have been offsetting each other, leaving a market in limbo.
"You have low home prices and interest rates on the one hand, but trouble getting financing on the other," he said. "And unemployment remains stubbornly high."
The struggling economy certainly has dampened housing market performance, with unemployment well above 9% nationally. The job outlook seems to have brightened a bit lately.
(to read the full article - http://money.cnn.com/2010/11/23/real_estate/home_sales_slow/index.htm
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Monday, October 25, 2010
Market Update
The supply of homes rose in August but remains lean by historic standards and is responsible for the price gains of the past several months. The MLS-based unsold inventory index rose from 4.6 months supply a year ago to 6.1 months supply in August 2010. Calculated as the ratio of listings to sales for a given month, the unsold inventory index rose mainly because of the slowdown in sales in the aftermath of expiring homebuyer tax credits, but there was also an uptick in the number of listings. Sales in the first half of the year averaged 520,200 homes, but “borrowed” from the second half of the year, resulting in a July sales figure of 439,680 homes, with slight improvement in August to 447,530 sales. Since late 2007, California home sales have consistently exceeded the trough level of 255,000 homes that was experienced in September and October 2007.
Concerns about the housing market and the general economy abound in the news. U.S. sales of homes stalled out at new lows for this cycle in July and August and the supply of homes nationally is nearly double that of California. While the housing sector is an important cog in the economy in its own right, it also plays an important role in transmitting the effects of monetary policy actions into the consumer economy. In other words, policy makers know that if they can spur activity in housing, the rest of the economy should also pick up.
What does that mean for consumers and prospective home buyers in particular? Efforts by the Federal Reserve Bank to reduce long term rates in the coming months should result in historically low mortgage rates. With the median price in California back to 2002 levels, affordability will be at record-high levels over the foreseeable future. For those households that are in a position to buy a home, the coming months will offer a rare opportunity to get the most for their money by buying, whether as first-time buyers or trade-up homeowners. Their actions will also give the economy a much needed boost and contribute to general economic recovery. So as it turns out, what’s good for home buyers is also good for the economy.
(excerpt from http://www.car.org/marketdata/trendsarchives/markettrendsseptember2010/)
Concerns about the housing market and the general economy abound in the news. U.S. sales of homes stalled out at new lows for this cycle in July and August and the supply of homes nationally is nearly double that of California. While the housing sector is an important cog in the economy in its own right, it also plays an important role in transmitting the effects of monetary policy actions into the consumer economy. In other words, policy makers know that if they can spur activity in housing, the rest of the economy should also pick up.
What does that mean for consumers and prospective home buyers in particular? Efforts by the Federal Reserve Bank to reduce long term rates in the coming months should result in historically low mortgage rates. With the median price in California back to 2002 levels, affordability will be at record-high levels over the foreseeable future. For those households that are in a position to buy a home, the coming months will offer a rare opportunity to get the most for their money by buying, whether as first-time buyers or trade-up homeowners. Their actions will also give the economy a much needed boost and contribute to general economic recovery. So as it turns out, what’s good for home buyers is also good for the economy.
(excerpt from http://www.car.org/marketdata/trendsarchives/markettrendsseptember2010/)
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Mortgage Rates Inch Up
Fixed rates on home loans edged higher this week after three weeks of declines, Freddie Mac said in its latest survey.
Lenders told the big mortgage finance company that they were offering 30-year fixed rate mortgages at an average of 4.21% to well-qualified borrowers who paid 0.8% of the loan amount in upfront lender fees and discount points.
That was up from 4.19% the previous week, which Freddie said was the lowest long-term mortgage rate since 1951. A year ago, the average rate in the survey was an even 5%.
Lenders told the big mortgage finance company that they were offering 30-year fixed rate mortgages at an average of 4.21% to well-qualified borrowers who paid 0.8% of the loan amount in upfront lender fees and discount points.
That was up from 4.19% the previous week, which Freddie said was the lowest long-term mortgage rate since 1951. A year ago, the average rate in the survey was an even 5%.
Monday, October 4, 2010
Private Transfer Fees
Congress may soon weigh in on a controversial technique for financing the capital costs of new housing developments, with Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., introducing legislation that would prohibit the collection of private transfer fees on all federally related mortgage loans.
The Federal Housing Administration has already said it won't insure loans encumbered by private transfer fees, and federal regulators have started a formal process that would ban Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks from investing in loans backed by homes that carry the fees.
Private transfer fee covenants typically allow a third party, such as a developer, to collect a fee equal to 1 percent of a property's sale price every time its sold. The covenants are often in place for as long as 99 years.
The Federal Housing Administration has already said it won't insure loans encumbered by private transfer fees, and federal regulators have started a formal process that would ban Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks from investing in loans backed by homes that carry the fees.
Private transfer fee covenants typically allow a third party, such as a developer, to collect a fee equal to 1 percent of a property's sale price every time its sold. The covenants are often in place for as long as 99 years.
Saturday, September 18, 2010
August sales and price report
California home sales edged up 1.8 percent from July, but were down 14.9 percent from August 2009, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported. The statewide median home price also increased 1.2 percent from July and was up 8.6 percent from a year ago.
“Buyers who are holding out should consider the opportunities in today’s market,” said C.A.R. President Steve Goddard. “Favorable home prices and interest rates at or near historic lows make housing affordability the best in recent memory. Anyone who is in a position to buy a home should do so before either of these key factors rise.”
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled 447,530 in August at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations statewide. Statewide home resale activity decreased 14.9 percent from the revised 526,110 sales pace recorded in August 2009. Sales in August 2010 increased 1.8 percent compared with July.
“Buyers who are holding out should consider the opportunities in today’s market,” said C.A.R. President Steve Goddard. “Favorable home prices and interest rates at or near historic lows make housing affordability the best in recent memory. Anyone who is in a position to buy a home should do so before either of these key factors rise.”
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled 447,530 in August at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations statewide. Statewide home resale activity decreased 14.9 percent from the revised 526,110 sales pace recorded in August 2009. Sales in August 2010 increased 1.8 percent compared with July.
Wednesday, September 1, 2010
FHA to Raise Monthly Insurance Premiums by over 63%
FHA Gives Home Buyers One-Month Window
September 1, 2010--The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) is giving homeowners and buyers until October 4 to lock in a low monthly insurance premium, according to Gibran Nicholas, chairman of the CMPS Institute, an organization that trains and certifies mortgage bankers and brokers. “After October 4, the monthly insurance premiums on FHA loans will increase by over 63%.”
What does this mean for home buyers?
A home buyer purchasing a $200,000 home using a $193,000 FHA mortgage before October 4 would pay an insurance premium of $88.46 per month. If the same home buyer waits until after October 4, the insurance premium would jump to $148.01.
“In this example, the home buyer would lose $59.55 per month, or $7,146 over a 10-year timeframe,” Nicholas said. “Although the upfront mortgage insurance premium is going down after October 4, the real impact to the home buyer is actually a net increase in their out of pocket costs because the monthly premium is going up by 63%. Remember, sellers can pay the upfront premium or it can be financed into the loan amount, so homebuyers rarely pay the upfront premium out of pocket. On the other hand, the increase in the monthly premiums will be paid right out of the home buyer’s pocket with their mortgage payment each month.”
September 1, 2010--The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) is giving homeowners and buyers until October 4 to lock in a low monthly insurance premium, according to Gibran Nicholas, chairman of the CMPS Institute, an organization that trains and certifies mortgage bankers and brokers. “After October 4, the monthly insurance premiums on FHA loans will increase by over 63%.”
What does this mean for home buyers?
A home buyer purchasing a $200,000 home using a $193,000 FHA mortgage before October 4 would pay an insurance premium of $88.46 per month. If the same home buyer waits until after October 4, the insurance premium would jump to $148.01.
“In this example, the home buyer would lose $59.55 per month, or $7,146 over a 10-year timeframe,” Nicholas said. “Although the upfront mortgage insurance premium is going down after October 4, the real impact to the home buyer is actually a net increase in their out of pocket costs because the monthly premium is going up by 63%. Remember, sellers can pay the upfront premium or it can be financed into the loan amount, so homebuyers rarely pay the upfront premium out of pocket. On the other hand, the increase in the monthly premiums will be paid right out of the home buyer’s pocket with their mortgage payment each month.”
Wednesday, August 25, 2010
Refi Protection for Purchase Money Debt
LOS ANGELES (Aug. 19) – The California State Assembly today approved SB 1178 (D-Corbett) by a 49 to 14 vote, extending anti-deficiency protection for consumers who have refinanced their original mortgage loans and now are facing foreclosure. The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) is the sponsor of the consumer-protection legislation.
Under existing law, if a homeowner defaults on a mortgage used to purchase a home—commonly referred to as a “purchase money mortgage”—the homeowner's liability on the mortgage is limited to the property itself. However, homeowners who refinanced the original purchase debt, even if only to obtain a lower interest rate, were not extended the same protections. SB 1178 corrects this unfairness and extends the same protections to consumers who refinance their home loans.
“Cash-out” debt for home improvement or consumer expenses is not protected by SB 1178. Similarly, additional new debt secured by the home, such as a home improvement loan, is not protected—only original acquisition debt.
“Today’s vote was a victory for homeowners in California, but the fight is not yet finished,” said C.A.R. President Steve Goddard. “We are urging Gov. Schwarzenegger to swiftly sign into law this crucial piece of legislation. Passage of SB 1178 will ensure lenders underwrite refinance loans at least as carefully as purchase money mortgages and will provide much-needed consumer protection.”
SB 1178 now moves to Gov. Schwarzenegger for his signature. If signed, SB 1178 will become effective June 2011.
Under existing law, if a homeowner defaults on a mortgage used to purchase a home—commonly referred to as a “purchase money mortgage”—the homeowner's liability on the mortgage is limited to the property itself. However, homeowners who refinanced the original purchase debt, even if only to obtain a lower interest rate, were not extended the same protections. SB 1178 corrects this unfairness and extends the same protections to consumers who refinance their home loans.
“Cash-out” debt for home improvement or consumer expenses is not protected by SB 1178. Similarly, additional new debt secured by the home, such as a home improvement loan, is not protected—only original acquisition debt.
“Today’s vote was a victory for homeowners in California, but the fight is not yet finished,” said C.A.R. President Steve Goddard. “We are urging Gov. Schwarzenegger to swiftly sign into law this crucial piece of legislation. Passage of SB 1178 will ensure lenders underwrite refinance loans at least as carefully as purchase money mortgages and will provide much-needed consumer protection.”
SB 1178 now moves to Gov. Schwarzenegger for his signature. If signed, SB 1178 will become effective June 2011.
Thursday, August 12, 2010
Friday, August 6, 2010
5 Good Reasons to Buy NOW.
1)Low mortgage rates serve as an equity shock absorber. When buyers borrow at today's record-low rates they start building equity as soon as they close. That means they can absorb a few ups and downs as the still-recovering housing market gains traction.
2)Houses are in move-in condition. Many homes are available where home owners have continued to spend on maintenance and repair.
3)Terrific houses are coming on the market. Foreclosures are finally starting to clear the system, and they are being replaced by some very attractive properties.
4)Appraisal regulations are finally beginning to align with market conditions. Fannie Mae has adjusted its appraisal guidelines, giving appraisers more flexibility to set values that reflect the market more accurately.
5)Plenty of programs. Many programs, like FHA loans, that encourage middle-class families to buy homes continue to exist, despite market downturns.
2)Houses are in move-in condition. Many homes are available where home owners have continued to spend on maintenance and repair.
3)Terrific houses are coming on the market. Foreclosures are finally starting to clear the system, and they are being replaced by some very attractive properties.
4)Appraisal regulations are finally beginning to align with market conditions. Fannie Mae has adjusted its appraisal guidelines, giving appraisers more flexibility to set values that reflect the market more accurately.
5)Plenty of programs. Many programs, like FHA loans, that encourage middle-class families to buy homes continue to exist, despite market downturns.
Saturday, July 24, 2010
Top 10 "Don'ts" During Your Home Purchase
Leading nationwide credit expert and President of Credit Resource Corporation, Linda Ferrari, developed the top 10 credit don'ts during the loan process, to help you get your arms around those things that can unknowingly wreak havoc on your loan transaction.
1. Don't do anything that will cause a red flag to be raised by the scoring system (i.e. big purchases, atypical spending patterns, etc)
2. Don't apply for new credit of any kind
3. Don't pay off collections or charge offs
4. Don't max out or over charge on your credit card accounts
5. Don't consolidate your debt onto 1 or 2 credit cards
6. Don't close credit card accounts
7. Don't pay late
8. Don't allow any accounts to run past due-even one day!
9. Don't dispute anything on your credit report
10. Don't lose contact with your mortgage and real estate professionals
Please contact me anytime if I can help you...I'm happy to hear from you!
1. Don't do anything that will cause a red flag to be raised by the scoring system (i.e. big purchases, atypical spending patterns, etc)
2. Don't apply for new credit of any kind
3. Don't pay off collections or charge offs
4. Don't max out or over charge on your credit card accounts
5. Don't consolidate your debt onto 1 or 2 credit cards
6. Don't close credit card accounts
7. Don't pay late
8. Don't allow any accounts to run past due-even one day!
9. Don't dispute anything on your credit report
10. Don't lose contact with your mortgage and real estate professionals
Please contact me anytime if I can help you...I'm happy to hear from you!
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Accurate Pricing For Sale
Accurately pricing a home for sale continues to be one of the most important factors in determining whether a home sells or lingers on the market. In some cases, sellers may need to reduce their asking price to attract buyers and offers. Some homeowners may struggle with determining whether or not they should reduce their list price. Receiving the guidance of a REALTOR® may help sellers decide if they should reduce the asking price. Sellers also may want to consider reducing their asking price if the following applies:
The sales prices of recently sold homes in the area are
lower than the list price of the home listed for sale.
Feedback from buyers’ agents suggests the home is
overpriced.
The home isn’t receiving any showings, even though it is
well marketed.
There have been multiple offers, but they consistently have
been significantly lower than the list price.
The sales prices of recently sold homes in the area are
lower than the list price of the home listed for sale.
Feedback from buyers’ agents suggests the home is
overpriced.
The home isn’t receiving any showings, even though it is
well marketed.
There have been multiple offers, but they consistently have
been significantly lower than the list price.
Monday, July 12, 2010
Closing Deadline Extended for Federal Credit
President Obama signed a bill extending the closing deadline for the federal home buyer tax credit to Sept. 30, 2010. The bill is retroactive and covers the lapse period from June 30, 2010 to the date of enactment of the extension. Congress passed the bill earlier this week.
Nearly 180,000 home buyers would have missed out on the tax credit had Congress and the president not taken action to extend the deadline to close escrow. Estimates from NAR show as many as 17,700 home buyers in California would not have received the tax credit without the extension.
Nearly 180,000 home buyers would have missed out on the tax credit had Congress and the president not taken action to extend the deadline to close escrow. Estimates from NAR show as many as 17,700 home buyers in California would not have received the tax credit without the extension.
Friday, July 2, 2010
Pending Home Sales Drop as Expected
Following a surge driven by the home buyer tax credit, pending home sales fell with the expiration of the deadline for qualified buyers to sign a purchase contract, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator, dropped 30.0 percent to 77.6 based on contracts signed in May from a reading of 110.9 in April, and is 15.9 percent below May 2009 when it was 92.3. The falloff comes on the heels of three strong monthly gains as home buyers rushed to take advantage of the tax credit.
Yun noted the tax credit has broadly stabilized home prices. “Without the tax credit, there will be more aggressive price negotiations between buyers and sellers. The key test on whether the housing market can stand on its own without stimulus medicine will depend critically on private sector job creation in the second half of the year. We’ll also keep a close eye on market conditions on the Gulf Coast.”
Through May of this year 495,000 net private sector jobs have been created; NAR’s forecast for employment growth is about 1 million additional net new jobs over the balance of the year and another 2 million in 2011.
“If jobs come back as expected, the pace of home sales should pick up later this year and reach a sustainable level of activity given very favorable affordability conditions,” Yun said.
“In most areas of the country there will be no sharp snap back in home prices in the upcoming years, although some local markets have experienced double-digit gains this year,” Yun said. NAR forecasts the national median home price to rise only 4 percent cumulatively over the next two years.
“One factor that could lead to price acceleration in upcoming years for some markets is if the very low levels of new-home construction were to persist for another year or two,” he added.
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator, dropped 30.0 percent to 77.6 based on contracts signed in May from a reading of 110.9 in April, and is 15.9 percent below May 2009 when it was 92.3. The falloff comes on the heels of three strong monthly gains as home buyers rushed to take advantage of the tax credit.
Yun noted the tax credit has broadly stabilized home prices. “Without the tax credit, there will be more aggressive price negotiations between buyers and sellers. The key test on whether the housing market can stand on its own without stimulus medicine will depend critically on private sector job creation in the second half of the year. We’ll also keep a close eye on market conditions on the Gulf Coast.”
Through May of this year 495,000 net private sector jobs have been created; NAR’s forecast for employment growth is about 1 million additional net new jobs over the balance of the year and another 2 million in 2011.
“If jobs come back as expected, the pace of home sales should pick up later this year and reach a sustainable level of activity given very favorable affordability conditions,” Yun said.
“In most areas of the country there will be no sharp snap back in home prices in the upcoming years, although some local markets have experienced double-digit gains this year,” Yun said. NAR forecasts the national median home price to rise only 4 percent cumulatively over the next two years.
“One factor that could lead to price acceleration in upcoming years for some markets is if the very low levels of new-home construction were to persist for another year or two,” he added.
Saturday, June 19, 2010
Is a Housing Shortage on the Horizon???
Some experts are saying that the next big real estate problem could be a shortage of homes.
Only 672,000 new homes were started in April. That’s less than half the number needed to meet the country’s average population growth.
In the past, an average of more than 1.3 million households have been built each year, creating demand for 1.5 million new homes. In 2009, only 398,000 new households were formed, according to the Census Bureau.
"The decline in household formation is artificial," says James Gaines, a real estate economist with Texas A&M. "The young are moving in with their parents. There's even doubling up among working-class people. There's a pent-up demand coming if and when the economy recovers."
Some economists believe this analysis fails to take into account the changing economy or the large inventory of vacant properties. But Gaines and others say these factors are unlikely to significantly drive down demand.
Source: CNNMoney.com, Les Christie (06/15/2010)
Only 672,000 new homes were started in April. That’s less than half the number needed to meet the country’s average population growth.
In the past, an average of more than 1.3 million households have been built each year, creating demand for 1.5 million new homes. In 2009, only 398,000 new households were formed, according to the Census Bureau.
"The decline in household formation is artificial," says James Gaines, a real estate economist with Texas A&M. "The young are moving in with their parents. There's even doubling up among working-class people. There's a pent-up demand coming if and when the economy recovers."
Some economists believe this analysis fails to take into account the changing economy or the large inventory of vacant properties. But Gaines and others say these factors are unlikely to significantly drive down demand.
Source: CNNMoney.com, Les Christie (06/15/2010)
Monday, June 14, 2010
House Hunting? 5 Things to Keep in Mind....
1. Expect stiff competition for some homes. There still seems to be an abundance of buyers and homes for sale are still receiving multiple offers. In most areas homes are selling on average at or just above (101-103%) of asking price. Bottom line is expect some competition and be proactive!
2. Getting a loan may be more complicated and time-consuming than you expect. With all of the questionable lending in recent years underwriters are being VERY cautious these days. Tax returns, pay stubs, verification of employment, and credit checks right before funds are drawn are not uncommon. Be VERY careful in escrow not to make any large purchases and do your homework ahead of time - GET PRE-APPROVED.
3. Buyers, be prepared to try, try again. It can be extremely frustrating for buyers right now. It feels as though foreclosure banks and short-sale servicers are holding all the cards and buyers are forced to play by their rules. Be patient, don't get emotionally attached to any one house, and be persistent. There are great deals to be had if you can survive the journey.
4. The appraisal process can throw a monkey wrench into a sale. Appraisals seem to be coming in lower than usual, possibly from increased scrutiny and the fear that lenders will crack down on any appraiser that causes them to lend more than the home is worth. If the home appraises at or above the offered price then everybody is happy. But if it comes in below the offered price then renegotiation must take place until funds are conceded to the appraised value.
5. Completing a "short sale" can be a hassle. Although programs like H.A.F.A. seem to be helping, the short sale process can still take months (depending on the servicer). There are typically savings to be had if one can stomach the ride and, in my opinion, short sales are worth the wait.
If you have any questions in regards to any of the above then I'd be happy to discuss things with you further. Please contact me anytime at tcrekevin@gmail.com with any questions or concerns.
2. Getting a loan may be more complicated and time-consuming than you expect. With all of the questionable lending in recent years underwriters are being VERY cautious these days. Tax returns, pay stubs, verification of employment, and credit checks right before funds are drawn are not uncommon. Be VERY careful in escrow not to make any large purchases and do your homework ahead of time - GET PRE-APPROVED.
3. Buyers, be prepared to try, try again. It can be extremely frustrating for buyers right now. It feels as though foreclosure banks and short-sale servicers are holding all the cards and buyers are forced to play by their rules. Be patient, don't get emotionally attached to any one house, and be persistent. There are great deals to be had if you can survive the journey.
4. The appraisal process can throw a monkey wrench into a sale. Appraisals seem to be coming in lower than usual, possibly from increased scrutiny and the fear that lenders will crack down on any appraiser that causes them to lend more than the home is worth. If the home appraises at or above the offered price then everybody is happy. But if it comes in below the offered price then renegotiation must take place until funds are conceded to the appraised value.
5. Completing a "short sale" can be a hassle. Although programs like H.A.F.A. seem to be helping, the short sale process can still take months (depending on the servicer). There are typically savings to be had if one can stomach the ride and, in my opinion, short sales are worth the wait.
If you have any questions in regards to any of the above then I'd be happy to discuss things with you further. Please contact me anytime at tcrekevin@gmail.com with any questions or concerns.
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